Movement Ecology
○ Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match Movement Ecology's content profile, based on 20 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Briedis, M.; Wong, J.; Becker, D.; Schulze, M.; Tolkmitt, D.; Dufour, P.; Hahn, S.
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Understanding how migratory birds balance energetic costs of movement with wintering benefits requires quantifying their energy expenditure across the full annual cycle. Here, we present a novel approach to reconstruct annual energy budget from multi-sensor geolocator data on atmospheric pressure and activity. We apply this method to tracking data of Eurasian Wrynecks from a European breeding population exhibiting striking variation in migration distance: short-distance migration to southern Europe, medium-distance to northern Africa, and long-distance to sub-Saharan Africa. Long-distance migrants had 21-26% lower annual energy expenditure than shorter-distance migrants, primarily due to reduced thermoregulation costs during boreal winter. However, they faced extreme physiological demands during migration, with daily energy expenditure exceeding 9.5 times basal metabolic rate. Since 1950, climate warming has progressively reduced winter thermoregulation demands disproportionately benefiting and potentially promoting shorter-distance strategies. These results reveal shifting energetic trade-offs under climate change, potentially driving evolution of migration patterns.
Lagerveld, S.; Karagicheva, J.; Vries, P. d.; Rakhimberdiev, E.; Stienstra, K.; Noort, B. C. A.; Poot, M. J. M.; Karwinkel, T.; Ruppel, G.; Brust, V.; Mathews, F.; Schmaljohann, H.; Van Langevelde, F.
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Migrating bats alternate between stopover periods and directed flights. When departing from a stopover site, bats select the night, the specific time within the night, and the flight direction to resume migration. Despite their ecological importance, the factors shaping these stopover departure decisions remain poorly understood. To identify the intrinsic and environmental factors driving departure decisions and movement patterns, we tagged Nathusius pipistrelles Pipistrellus nathusii at three coastal locations in the Netherlands and tracked 178 individuals during autumn migration, using the MOTUS Wildlife Tracking System. We examined movement patterns and analysed departure probability in relation to a set of individual and environmental covariates in a Bayesian capture-recapture model in state-space formulation. Additionally, we modelled within-night variation in departure timing. Seasonal patterns were strongly influenced by reproductive behaviour, with decreased migration probability during the mating period. Regardless of their seasonal timing, bats departed under moderate tailwinds and dry conditions, optimizing energy efficiency, while avoiding crosswinds and cloud cover, enhancing navigational safety. Most individuals departed shortly after sunset, whereas headwinds delayed nocturnal departure. Movement patterns were diverse, including migration towards lower latitudes, coastal barrier movements, and long-distance roundtrips, suggesting the use of multiple movement strategies. Our study demonstrates that migration patterns in bats emerge from the interaction between intrinsic factors and external conditions, and highlights the importance of both energy efficiency and safety in shaping stopover departure decisions. The presence of multiple movement strategies complicates predictions of spatiotemporal occurrence, emphasising the need to account for behavioural variability in conservation planning, for example in the context of wind energy developments.
Kadlec, I.; Bartak, V.; Selimovic, A.; Kutal, M.; Dula, M.; Stier, N.; Meissner-Hylanova, V.; Peskova, L. B.; Sladecek, M.; Vorel, A.; Signer, J.
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O_LIClassifying animal movement strategies from GPS tracking data is essential for understanding space use, population dynamics and conservation planning. However, existing approaches either require strong parametric assumptions about trajectory shape, large labelled datasets (i.e. expert-annotated) for machine learning, or lack formal uncertainty quantification. These limitations create barriers for researchers working with novel species or limited sample sizes. C_LIO_LIWe present a profile-based classification framework consisting of three steps. First, trajectories are segmented using breakpoint detection applied to Net Squared Displacement (NSD) time series. Movement metrics are then extracted from each segment and classified by comparing them to empirically derived behavioural profiles via Z-score distances transformed to softmax probabilities. Bootstrap resampling quantifies uncertainty in the resulting classifications from both training and test data. We validated the framework through simulation experiments and applied it to GPS tracking data from two ecologically contrasting species: gray wolf (Canis lupus;43 individuals) and northern lapwing (Vanellus vanellus;15 individuals). C_LIO_LISimulations showed that 5-10 training segments per movement strategy suffice for reliable classification, with overall accuracy of 91.1%across residential, floating and dispersal strategies. Segment duration of 30-60 days was required for confident discrimination of residential and floating behaviour. For wolves, the framework clearly distinguished residency, floating or dispersal (91.2%of segments classified with >50%probability). For lapwings, migration was identified with high confidence, while residential-floating discrimination reflected genuine ecological ambiguity confirmed by domain experts, with bootstrap confidence intervals transparently flagging uncertain cases. C_LIO_LIThe profile-based framework provides an accessible, interpretable alternative to parametric NSD fitting and machine learning approach, requiring modest training data while delivering probabilistic classifications with honest uncertainty estimates. An R package (moveprofile) implementing the complete workflow is freely available. The framework is applicable to any tracked species where distinct movement strategies can be identified by experts knowledge. C_LI
Wynn, J.; Dierschke, J.; Dufour, P.; Langebrake, G.; Rollins, R.; Schmaljohann, H.; Salmon, P.; Irestedt, M.; Kunzel, S.; Bossu, C.; Ruegg, K.; Schnelle, A.; Zhao, T.; Sin, Y.; Bairlein, F.; Burnus, L.; Hosner, P.; Heim, W.; Karwinkel, T.; Jong, A.; Laine, V.; Michalik, A.; Neumann, M.; Packert, M.; Renner, S.; unsold, M.; Winkler, K.; Liedvogel, M.
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Vagrant animals - individuals found far outside their normal range - offer powerful natural experiments for understanding migratory mechanisms. The yellow-browed warbler (Phylloscopus inornatus) provides perhaps the best-yet example, typically migrating from Siberia to South/Southeast Asia yet found in increasingly large numbers in Western Europe. This represents a strikingly unresolved evolutionary puzzle: why do so many migrants consistently move in almost the complete wrong direction? A critical first step toward solving this enigma is determining where these birds come from. If vagrants came from the proximal western range edge this would imply simple disorientation, whilst a more easterly origin could imply large-scale reverse misorientation. Here, we develop a geolocation-by-genotype algorithm for low-coverage whole-genome resequencing data collected from feathers. Our method identifies spatially informative SNPs; clusters them to account for covariance in allele frequency through space; and employs a bootstrapped maximum-likelihood framework to estimate spatial origin with uncertainty. Applied to more than 80 European-caught birds, our results place their origin in central Siberia (118{degrees}E; 89-134{degrees}E [95% CI]); over 2000km east of the western range edge. These results suggest mass misorientation in a near-reverse direction, and highlight the yellow-browed warbler as an exceptional system for probing the mechanism, ontogeny and evolution of migration.
Kranstauber, B.; Safi, K.; Scharf, A. K.
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O_LIStudying animal movement at the population scale requires a stable, modern software substrate. Within R, the legacy move package supplied that substrate for over a decade, but its sp/rgeos backbone has been retired. The successor package move2 deliberately confined its scope to the data class and core movebank API functions. C_LIO_LIThe analytical machinery of move, namely dynamic Brownian-bridge utilisation distributions, the directional bivariate-Gaussian variant, corridor segmentation, and along-track thinning, was left to port to the modern sf/terra stack. C_LIO_LIWe present move2utils, an R package that completes and complements that transition. move2utils provides move2-native ports of the move analytical functions, preserves the original C kernels where they exist, and replaces the deprecated spatial scaffolding around them. It additionally ports some of the legacy R-based code to faster C kernels to improve computational speed. move2utils also exposes novel outlier-detection methodology described in detail in a companion paper. C_LIO_LIThe package is open-source (GPL [≤] 3), is developed on the MPCDF GitLab and mirrored on GitHub for public installation, and ships with vignettes and a CI-tested check suite. We illustrate it with a worked example on real tracking data and synthetic datasets. C_LI
McMurry, S.; Alyetama, M.; Goldstein, B.; Kays, R.
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Models for estimating animal density from camera traps require four parameters informing detection: movement speed, daily activity level, staying time (duration animals remain within the detection zone), and effective detection distance. These parameters traditionally come from labor-intensive manual measurements and auxiliary telemetry. Recent advances in computer vision can provide the positions of animals in camera trap images, which have been used for distance sampling. We extend this approach to extract all four parameters from imagery, providing the first AI-derived estimates of movement speed and staying time from automated coordinate tracking. We also introduce a new joint multi-species hierarchical distance function that estimates deployment-specific effective detection distances while borrowing strength across species through partial pooling. Our pipeline integrates MegaDetector for animal detection, the Segment Anything Model for segmentation, and Dense Prediction Transformers for monocular depth estimation. From frame-level coordinates, we reconstruct movement trajectories across burst sequences to estimate speed with size-biased distribution corrections, calculate staying time through bounding box interpolation, and estimate activity levels from detection timestamps. The joint hierarchical distance function decomposes the detection scale parameter into a shared deployment-level effect and species-specific offsets, so species effects represent deviations from the multi-species average, allowing data-rich species to inform detection conditions where rare species have few observations. AI-derived scene depth enters the model as a covariate on detection range, providing a vegetation openness metric from the same pipeline. To address position errors from depth estimation, we apply data quality filters. We processed 122,574 frames from 181 deployments across montane forests in Washington and Montana, generating parameter estimates for 12 species without manual annotation. Automated speed estimates produced day ranges 2.7 to 4.3 times GPS telemetry-derived daily distances, reflecting differences between encounter velocity within detection zones and landscape-scale displacement. Deployment-level variation in detectability exceeded species-level differences 3:1, with scene depth strongly predicting detection range; mean effective detection distances ranged from 4.1 to 7.6 m. Applied to a Random Encounter Model, these parameters yielded a white-tailed deer density estimate of 21.4 animals/km{superscript 2} and the Random Encounter Staying Time model yielded 11.6animals/km{superscript 2} in Montana. This pipeline enables scalable density estimation across large camera trap networks.
Eddington, V. M.; Fradet, D. T.; Craig, E. C.; Cimino, M. A.; White, E. R.; Kloepper, L. N.
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Migratory seabirds are valuable indicators of marine ecosystem change but can be difficult to monitor during the breeding season due to dense colonies, remote breeding sites, and sensitivity to investigator disturbance. Passive acoustic monitoring offers a minimally invasive alternative to traditional surveys; however, high call overlap in large colonies complicates approaches that rely on identifying individual vocalizations. In this study, we evaluate acoustic energy as a simple soundscape metric for monitoring breeding phenology in colonial seabirds. Using a comparative approach, we deployed autonomous recorders at breeding colonies of Adelie penguins (Pygoscelis adeliae) in the Western Antarctic Peninsula and common terns (Sterna hirundo) in the Gulf of Maine. We examined seasonal patterns in acoustic energy and compared these trends with known breeding stages and colony observations. Across both species, acoustic energy exhibited distinct seasonal patterns that correspond to key phenological stages, including courtship, incubation, chick rearing, and fledging. These stages are associated with distinctive colony-wide behavioral shifts in colony attendance, territorial interactions, and parent-offspring communication that structure the breeding-season soundscape. Our results demonstrate that colony-wide acoustic energy can capture key phenological transitions in seabird colonies and provide a scalable, minimally invasive approach for monitoring breeding dynamics in remote or rapidly changing environments. HighlightsO_LIPassive acoustic monitoring can track bioindicator phenology under climate change C_LIO_LIAmplitude captures colony-level activity in dense seabird colonies C_LIO_LISoundscape patterns correspond to key breeding stages C_LIO_LIEffective in both temperate and polar seabird systems C_LIO_LIEnables scalable, low-disturbance monitoring in remote systems C_LI
Nicosia, A.
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Hidden Markov models are standard for inferring behavioural states from animal movement data, but checking whether a fitted latent-state model predicts held-out movement well remains difficult. We develop sequential predictive e-diagnostics that evaluate a fitted movement HMM as a generator of validation trajectories. Each diagnostic specifies a predictable alternative density, and its ratio to the fitted models observable one-step predictive density defines an e-value increment. The denominator is obtained by filtering over latent states, not by conditioning on a decoded path. Under a fixed train/validation protocol, the cumulative product is an e-process, giving anytime-valid thresholds under optional stopping and predictable switching. The construction extends to weighted and state-localized evidence, feature-level circular-linear checks, and blockwise summaries. Controlled simulations show calibration under the fitted-generator null and sensitivity to targeted misspecifications. A leave-one-animal-out elk case study illustrates pooled, individual-specific and state-localized predictive model criticism in a standard movement-HMM workflow.
Cremel, K.; Festa-Bianchet, M.; Langlois, A.; Pelletier, F.
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Winter can affect animal population dynamics by limiting resource availability and increasing energetic costs of movement caused by deep snow. Given the rapid alteration of snowpack properties due to climate change, quantifying how snow characteristics influence reproduction and physical condition is critical. We evaluated how snow cover duration, depth, and density affect spring body mass, reproduction probability, and subsequent autumn body mass of bighorn sheep (Ovis canadensis) using 45 years of individual-based data at Ram Mountain, Alberta, Canada, along with historical snow records reconstructed via the SNOWPACK model. Using Bayesian structural equation modeling, we quantified the direct and indirect effects of snow across different sex and age classes. Long and deep snow covers reduced spring body mass across all demographic groups, with yearlings, especially males, losing up to 0.12 kg per additional cm of snow depth. Harsh snow conditions reduced the probability of reproduction for adult females and generated a compensatory indirect effect on mass by avoiding the energetic costs of reproduction. In contrast, yearlings showed no compensatory responses and entered the following autumn in poor condition (up to 14% lighter for males and 8% for females following the deepest snow years). The impact of snow density on autumn mass of adult males was density-dependent, shifting from beneficial at low density (+0.09 kg per kg/m3) to detrimental at high density (-0.04 kg per kg/m3). The effects of snow conditions generate persistent, context-dependent carry-over effects across seasons. Our study suggests that distinct demographic groups rely on different mechanisms to cope with environmental constraints, highlighting complex, time-lagged consequences of changing winter climate on alpine herbivore populations.
Zhou, X.; Wang, G.; Wu, R.; Bracco, A.
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Larval dispersal models are central to mapping and predicting ichthyoplankton dynamics in the ocean, yet despite decades of refinement they remain fundamentally limited by their ability to represent adaptive behaviors, relying instead on static trait parameterizations. This deficiency constrains our capacity to design effective restoration and mitigation strategies in an increasingly stressed ocean. SWARM (Simulating Waterborne Agent Routes for Marine connectivity) overcomes this barrier by integrating Large Language Model (LLM)-based behavioral agents with a standard biophysical model to simulate active decision-making during the pelagic larval stage. In both idealized and realistic conditions focusing on Red Snapper larvae in the Gulf of Mexico, agents develop adaptive behaviors that improve settlement and generate explainable vertical distribution patterns. SWARM demonstrates that LLMs can overcome long-standing limitations in dispersal modelling by explicitly representing behavioral drivers of movement, opening new pathways for predicting connectivity and designing effective marine-ecosystem restoration.
Lavender, E.; Futia, M. H.; Scheidegger, A.; Biber, S. W.; Brodersen, J.; Briers, R. A.; Thorburn, J.; Albert, C.
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Underwater receiver networks (passive acoustic telemetry systems) are deployed to track animals in aquatic habitats all over the world, but remarkably limited attention has been given over to how we can strengthen the value of these networks through statistical and computational advances. Here, we upscale state-of-the-art methods of Bayesian inference to big animal-tracking datasets from acoustic telemetry, with the largest geolocation analysis in a sparse passive acoustic telemetry system (with non-overlapping receivers) to date. Using four years of data from 93 lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) in North Americas Lake Champlain (657,360 timesteps per individual), we formulate and fit state-space models to reconstruct animal movements through time. Uniquely, we directly embed biological expertise and detailed complementary datasets from fine-scale positioning systems, accelerometry, swim-tunnel experiments and field range tests in our analysis. Using simulated and real-world datasets, we map movement patterns and estimate residency in distinct management zones. We quantify array precision and deliver maps and residency estimates with a median error and precision (standard error) below 1 %. These results strengthen the evidence base for management. This work takes us a step towards robust inference of movement patterns at scale in acoustic telemetry systems across the world. We can, and should, build on prior scientific progress and extend the value of hard-earned data beyond individual studies to refine inferences for ecology and management. Significance statementAcoustic receivers are deployed across the globe to track aquatic animals, but reconstructing detailed movement patterns from detections at receivers remains a considerable challenge. Here, we upscale state-of-the-art methods of Bayesian inference by two orders of magnitude to analyse big, real-world datasets, using an extensive case study of lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) in Lake Champlain. By directly integrating diverse complementary datasets from animal-borne tags, swim-tunnel experiments, field studies and close-kin mark-recapture in our analysis, we resolve detailed movement patterns over a four-year period, with broad implications for ecology and management. This work provides a powerful framework for acoustic telemetry studies that strives to meet the challenges of big, real-world datasets from telemetry networks across the world.
Owens, G.; Wood, C. M.; Hunt, T. J.; Bussolini, L. T.; Kriesl, A.; Alves, F.; Stojanovic, D.
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Efficiently finding rare species is a perennial challenge in conservation science. The orange-bellied parrot Neophema chrysogaster is a rare mobile bird that is difficult to locate using traditional field survey techniques with human observers. We harnessed recent advances in bioacoustic technology to create a survey framework that integrates passive acoustic surveys and semi-automated detection to increase monitoring capacity for the orange-bellied parrot. We developed a custom BirdNET classifier for the orange-bellied parrot and compared efficacy of acoustic and field surveys using an occupancy framework. We deployed autonomous recording units across the orange-bellied parrots breeding range in southwest Tasmania and concurrently undertook between three and six repeated point-count surveys at the same 48 sites using human observers. Our custom BirdNET classifier had high accuracy and discrimination abilities. Validation of model scores across a week (5,712 hours of audio) required 60 hours reviewing time and yielded a 95% confidence of a correct BirdNET prediction at scores over 0.998. Occupancy analysis showed that the detection probability of acoustic surveys (p = 0.80) was more than eleven times greater than field surveys by skilled ecologists familiar with the species (p = 0.07). We provide a template for how to implement monitoring of the orange-bellied parrot and recommendations for how our methods can be improved to optimise the classifier to account for other species and locations.
Abraham, J. O.; Martinez-Garcia, R.; Gijsman, F.; Phillips, E. M.; Tarnita, C. E.
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Despite the ecological importance of ungulate migrations, we lack a complete understanding of why some ungulates migrate and others do not. Though progress has been made towards understanding differences across species and between populations, migratory behavior varies even within populations: in many populations, some individuals remain behind as residents (partial migration). Theoretical population-level work has suggested that these different migratory tactics can coexist, but such approaches stop short of providing insights into how individuals make the decision to stay or go each year. Using long-term data from three ungulate populations, we find that individuals probabilities of migrating are highly variable across years, which points to a non-trivial context-dependent decision-making process, whose underlying mechanisms must be probed via individual-level modeling. Drawing on existing knowledge, we propose a decision-making model of ungulate migration onset wherein individuals probabilistically decide to start migrating based on the local intensity of environmental and/or social cues. Residents arise as a robust collective organization phenomenon in our model. At sufficiently large population sizes, the number of residents is invariant with total population size, consistent with empirical patterns. Instead, resident numbers are influenced by the severity of the bad season, by relevant character differences among individuals, and by how individuals contribute and respond to environmental and/or social cues; for instance, when social cues contribute to decision-making in addition to environmental ones, fewer residents result, and migration is more likely to be complete. Overall, our model provides a potential mechanistic explanation for how residents might emerge within migratory ungulate populations.
Grabow, M.; Scholz, C.; Roeleke, M.; Stillfried, M.; Kimmig, S. E.; Weh, C.; Boerner, K.; Blaum, N.; Jeltsch, F.; Ortmann, S.; Kramer-Schadt, S.
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Various hypotheses have been proposed to explain why some species persist or even flourish in urban areas. Yet, despite its central role in determining when and where animals encounter resources, disturbance, and risk, movement behaviour remains an overlooked mechanism of urban success. In urban areas, human activities are strongly periodic, i.e. predictable in space and time. This may favour species able to adjust their behaviour to predictable cycles of resources and risks in space and time. Here, we tested this hypothesis and tracked movement behaviour along an urbanisation gradient in three mammal species with different urban success: red fox (Vulpes vulpes), an urban dweller; raccoon (Procyon lotor), an invasive urban dweller; and wild boar (Sus scrofa), an urban utiliser. We analysed periodicity in movement behaviour and investigated whether increasing urbanisation is associated with periodic reorganisation of activity timing, space use, and further analysed alterations in habitat selection along the urbanisation gradient. Our results show that foxes aligned their movement behaviour with human activity, having stronger day-night contrasts and more repeatable space use than their rural counterparts. Urban raccoons showed a contrasting strategy; they were more active during the day, without changes in their movement routines under increasing urbanisation, suggesting a flexible strategy that explains their urban success. In contrast, wild boars reduced routine movement behaviours with increasing urbanisation, consistent with their occurrence in less predictable suburban environments and avoidance of city centres. In summary, our results suggest that movement behaviour may be a key mechanism enabling animals to persist in cities, revealing distinct behavioural strategies for coping with urban environments.
Wynn, J.; Broniszewska, M.; Edney, A.; Garrido Garduno, T.; Moford, J.; Polakowski, M.; Rollins, R. E.; Salmon, P.; Vedder, O.; Liedvogel, M.
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It is hard to predict how rapidly songbird migration will change in the Anthropocene. Indeed, since songbird migration is thought to have a strong heritable component, the continental-scale organisation of migratory movement might be seen as fairly inflexible. Perhaps one of the best models for the ecology and evolution of migration is the Eurasian blackcap (Sylvia atricapilla) which, as part of a continent-wide effort to characterise blackcap migratory phenotype, we geolocator-tracked from breeding sites in eastern Poland. Rather than migrating in the expected south-easterly migratory direction, these birds migrated south and south-west - suggesting that blackcaps in the east of their range have switched migratory direction. We sought to investigate the extent of this phenomenon using almost a century of ringing data, which confirmed that blackcaps breeding across the entirety of Eastern Europe have indeed almost completely stopped using their historic eastern flyway. Instead, a shorter-distance west-migrating phenotype has emerged, which we find is consistent with warmer winter temperatures opening up wintering sites at more northerly latitudes in the west. We discuss what drives changes in migratory behaviour over short timescales; and consider what this tells us about how migratory information is inherited.
Morford, J.; Lewin, P. J.; Larkman, L.; Kumar, G.; Kinuthia, J. W.; Sasaki, T.; Mann, R. P.; Krupenye, C.; Biro, D.
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Collective movement requires coordination between individuals, yet how this emerges during early interactions remains poorly understood. We investigated how partner familiarity influences coordination, leader-follower dynamics, and learning in homing pigeon pairs navigating from novel sites. Birds were released repeatedly with either familiar or unfamiliar partners, followed by solo releases to assess learning. By quantifying bidirectional information flow, we found familiarity influenced information-transfer dynamics during the first release: familiar pairs exhibited more asymmetric information transfer, likely reflecting established leader-follower relationships, whereas unfamiliar pairs showed more symmetric exchange. These differences disappeared after one release. Conversely, familiarity had little effect on cohesion or navigational performance. There was some evidence for an influence on learning: birds from familiar pairings had higher homing efficiency on a subsequent solo release. Finally, across partnerships, followership was more predictable than leadership with respect to individual identity and flight speed, indicating stable variation in individuals' tendency to follow rather than lead. This suggests that a shift in emphasis from leadership to followership might enhance our understanding of collective decision-making dynamics. Our results demonstrate how flight partners rapidly coordinate, producing limited downstream effects on navigation and learning, with implications for many animals that travel in fission-fusion transitory collectives.
Lloyd Jones, L. R.; Bravington, M. V.; Nguyen, H. D. D.; Thomson, R.; Easton, J. H.
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SO_SCPLOWUMMARYC_SCPLOWAge is a fundamental life-history parameter in animal ecology and wildlife management. Age informs key ecological characteristics including population age structure, recruitment strength, extinction risk, reproductive maturity, and mortality rates. This importance has necessitated the development of chronological age estimation methods for wild animals. However, estimating chronological age is challenging for wild species, with noisy and potentially biased measures typically gathered from morphometrics, physical characteristics or, more recently, molecular methods like DNA methylation. These measures of age require at least some initial validation set of known-age individuals, or known time intervals, which is difficult to obtain for many species. Here, we present a solution to inferring the relationship between chronological age and error-prone observed age that does not require known-age individuals. The model couples the formulae for occurrence rates of half-sibling pairs, which decrease as a function of the birth-year gap between two sampled individuals, with time of capture. A pseudo-likelihood framework is developed for parameter estimation that can resolve linear and non-linear relationships and provide variance parameter estimates. We explore the methods efficacy for estimating chronological age using forward-in-time simulation and validate prior estimates of the relationship between vertebral band counts and chronological age for 3,000 school shark (Galeorhinus galeus) from an Australian fishery.
Castellanos, F. X.; Jackson, D.; Mezzini, S.; Brito, J.; Castellanos, A.
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BackgroundThe Andean bear (Tremarctos ornatus), South Americas only ursid, is one of the worlds most elusive large mammals, making movement data collection exceptionally rare. Addressing this gap, we present the largest telemetry dataset ever assembled, spanning 19 individuals tracked across three Ecuadorian National Parks over two decades, paired with a novel analytical approach. MethodsWe integrated Continuous-Time Movement Models (CTMM), Auto-correlated Kernel Density Estimators (AKDEs), Hidden Markov Models (HMM) and a diel niche theoretical framework to mitigate biases previously unaccounted for the species in telemetry studies. Fine-scale AKDEs and non-linear movement metrics were calculated to understand seasonal space use and movement behaviors. Speed and diffusion from CTMM and behavioral states from HMM were modelled with environmental covariates to investigate which conditions shape diel and seasonal activity. ResultsPopulation mean home range was 138.2 km2 (95% Confidence Intervals 78.7-225.5), with males (239.8 km2; 182.8-307.5), significantly exceeding females (58.5 km2; 35.5-90.3). Notably, three females exhibited ranges comparable to some males. Weekly and monthly AKDEs uncovered cyclic home range dynamics potentially driven by resource availability, with contractions around corn harvests, mortino and achupalla fruiting, and expansions during paramo transitions. Decoupling speed from diffusion rates showed region-specific behaviors: intensive patch exploitation in Llanganates, broad exploratory ranging in Cayambe-Coca, and suppressed female locomotion in Cotacachi-Cayapas. Statistical analyses identified temperature as a key diel modulator and precipitation as the seasonal driver. Foraging probability increased between 2:00-6:00, large displacements between 7:00-14:00, and nocturnal movement rose significantly under colder conditions. Across diel hypothesis frameworks, bears were classified as cathemeral rather than strictly diurnal, corroborated by camera-trap records from Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru. ConclusionsWe propose a cathemeral diel phenotype that responds to thermal fluctuations and situates Andean bears within a broader ursid context of thermoregulatory niche plasticity. This dataset reveals unprecedented resolution of regional and sex specific behaviors that will facilitate and accelerate comparative studies in rapidly changing Andean landscapes. By releasing this long-term dataset as an open resource, we provide a foundation for climate-resilient conservation strategies. More broadly, we advocate for data democratization and invite collaboration.
Baraiya, H. L.; Baroth, A.; Kumar, R. S.
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BackgroundWintering migratory birds must balance energetic requirements, resource availability, and disturbance in increasingly human-modified landscapes. However, individual-level variability in daily movement and winter space use remains poorly understood in South Asian populations of the common crane. We investigated how seasonal dynamics, landscape composition, and individual differences structure winter movement ecology in a semi-arid agro-wetland system in western India. MethodsWe analysed high-resolution GPS telemetry data from multiple tagged cranes tracked across three consecutive winters. Daily movement distances were modelled using mixed-effects approaches to partition variance within and among individuals and among winters. Daily movement trajectories were evaluated using non-linear temporal terms. Landscape predictors, including cropland proportion, built-up area, and habitat heterogeneity, were incorporated to assess environmental drivers. Winter range distributions were estimated using autocorrelation-informed kernel density estimation within a continuous-time movement modelling framework. ResultsMost variation in daily movement occurred within individuals rather than among them, indicating strong behavioural flexibility. Interannual differences explained substantial variance, suggesting sensitivity to changing environmental conditions. Daily movement distance followed a non-linear seasonal pattern consistent with shifts in the profitability of agricultural resources over winter. Cropland proportion and landscape evenness were negatively associated with movement distance, whereas a high proportion of built-up areas increased daily movement distance, reflecting a trade-off between resource concentration and anthropogenic disturbance. Winter range distribution size varied markedly both within individuals across years and among individuals within seasons. ConclusionWinter movement and space use in common cranes are predominantly context-dependent and environmentally driven. Seasonal dynamics, agricultural landscapes, and human disturbance jointly structure movement patterns, with limited but consistent individual differences. Multi-year, individual-based telemetry provides a comprehensive understanding of winter spatial strategies in dynamic semi-arid agro-wetland systems.
Kruger, L.; Santa Cruz, F.; Marquez, M.; Vianna, J. A.; Santos, M.; Pinones, A.; Cardenas, C.
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Fledging is a critical period of a seabird life cycle. Using satellite telemetry, we compared movements and survival proxies (transmission duration) of chinstrap penguin fledglings tracked in 2017 (n=8) and 2025 (n=17) relative to krill fishing vessel activity. In 2017, fishing vessels operated intensively near colonies during summer, resulting in early, frequent encounters (median 1.3 days post-fledging) and short transmission durations (median 9.2 days). In 2025, reduced fishing delayed encounters (median 10.0 days) and tripled tracking duration (median 24.0 days). Hidden Markov Models revealed that vessel encounters reduced the probability of transitioning from foraging to transit behavior ({beta} = -0.76), an effect stronger than the productivity ({beta} = -0.11). While 87.5% of 2017 fledglings ceased transmission prematurely within weeks (half of those right after entering areas intensively used by fishing vessels), 65% of 2025 fledglings survived beyond March, with half of those five transmitting until May after dispersing eastward to the South Orkney Islands. These findings suggest that spatiotemporal overlap with krill fisheries during the critical post-fledging window affected foraging behavior and was associated with shorter transmission durations. Our results support further research of post-fledging penguin ecology to better understand the potential impact of fishery, and, following the precautionary principle, support fishing seasonal protection of important areas during critical periods of krill predators life cycle.